Saturday, December 20, 2008

Suited aces in middle position

Suited Aces carry the key strength of the maximum potential for a nut flush when 3 cards of their suit hit the board. In middle position, Maverick raises limpers with broadway Ace suited hands, calls with other Aces down to A4s, open raises with any suited Ace, and will only play against a raise with Ace broadway suited: it will call with AJs and A10s, but will 3-bet with AQs and AKs.

HandAction
When
1st in
Action
With
Limpers
Action
When
Raised
Net $
Per Hand
(3/6)
AKsRaiseRaiseReraise4.10
AQsRaiseRaiseReraise2.79
AJsRaiseRaiseCall1.96
A10sRaiseRaiseCall1.44
A9sRaiseCallFold0.62
A8sRaiseCallFold0.40
A7sRaiseCallFold0.06
A6sRaiseCallFold-0.07
A5sRaiseCallFold-0.07
A4sRaiseCallFold-0.26
A3sRaiseFoldFold-0.29
A2sRaiseFoldFold-0.29


Proftiability as played remains until you get down to A7s, where the profitability as played is slight at best, then everything below A7s is a loser. Once you get below A10s, the suited Aces' only real value comes from their flush potential, as when the Aces pair, their kickers are weak, leaving holders with a second best hand when someone else plays their stronger Ace.

Even when you pair the weaker kicker, the pair is rarely top pair on the flop, let alone by the river, typically leaving you with 5 outs to improve (three Aces and two more of your weaker kicker). Only when a player lands two pair or trips does the hand retain strong value. Axs is a hand limited in its drawing potential if the x isn't 10 or higher.

No comments: