3bet: AA-99, AKs-AJs, AKo-AQo, KQs
Call: 88-66, A10s, AJo, KJs(-K10s), QJs(-Q10s)
Fairly tight range. Here are the results, again with top hands omitted since we know they play profitably:
Pairs | Net $ Per-Hand (3/6) |
---|---|
TT | 1.72 |
99 | 0.16 |
88 | -0.59 |
77 | -0.82 |
66 | -0.98 |
Aces | Net $ Per-Hand (3/6) | Aces | Net $ Per-Hand (3/6) |
---|---|---|---|
AKs | 3.84 | AKo | 2.59 |
AQs | 1.84 | AQo | 0.24 |
AJs | 0.54 | AJo | -1.35 |
A10s | -0.27 |
Kings | Net $ Per-Hand (3/6) | Kings | Net $ Per-Hand (3/6) |
---|---|---|---|
KQs | -0.58 | QJs | -0.63 |
KJs | -0.42 | Q10s | -0.73 |
K10s | -0.45 | J10s | -0.69 |
Pairs: Tens do fine, but then 99 shows only a marginal profit (a subsequent trial with 99 cold calling only showed a $0.03 profit), before we see a huge loss for 88. I did not run a trial where 99 was cold called, since I figured it would post a loss that way given a raise reduces the field enough to not give 99 proper odds to try and flop a set. And 88 showed such a large loss that I did not believe a trial with 88 reraising would improve it to profitability even if I believed such a trial would show a better profit (and my middle position trials showed that 3-bet raises against a range with smaller pairs typically led to even bigger losses).
Aces: Suited aces see profitability until after AJs, where A10s showed a loss. AKo showed a big win, but AQo showed only a marginal profit, and AJo posted a massive loss ($-1.35 per hand is equal to a loss of $40 an hour, nearly 7 big bets!).
Others: None of the other hands showed a profit. KQs was a big loser (and a manual trial with KQs being limped did not show a significant improvement). Prior middle position tests indicate that 3-betting the other hands instead of cold calling with them will not improve their results.
From this, we can gather that, against a raise and yet to enter the pot, we tighten up considerably, reraising every playable hand listed: AA-99, AKs-AJs, AKo-AQo
This makes up 5.4% of playable hands. Everything else is folded. Basically, the numbers show us that we want no part of any pot that gets raised in front, unless we have a hand we're willing to 3-bet with.
Keep in mind this is much different from a pot we enter, whether limped or raised ourselves, that gets raised by someone after us. Once it comes back to us, we typically need to call one bet to stay in the pot and there's quite a bit of money already in the pot as a result, so we have usually odds to try and draw against what's probably a better hand.
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